We’ve Just Experienced our First Losing Day of 2019. Here’s to Many More!

2019 MLB Record: 20-4-0 +16.22u


4/8 Recap: 1-2-0 -1.14u

Brewers ML -112 1u: Not Cashed

  • Didn’t watch the game.
  • Ugh.

Mariners -1.5 +125 1u: CASHED

  • Tgod for the Mariners.
  • An 8-run 6th inning. Historical truly (also a night saver).

Dodgers ML 117 1u: Not Cashed

  • I know they lost but there is not enough you can say about this guy Bellinger. Only the second player ever with 7 HRs and 18 RBIs through first 10 games of the season. The other: Willie Mays. He basically engineered the 2 runs in the top of the 1st and then they barely hit after that.
  • This was unlucky. SO annoying that Hyun Jin-Ryu got pulled in the 2nd for whatever injury reason, probably gave up the first inning HR because of it. Pen just got too stretched I would think.

4/9:

Mets -1.5 -115 1u (7pm)

Phillies ML -140 1u (7pm)

Diamondbacks -1.5 +130 (930pm)


Ok. Let’s relax. Cool down. Go back to basics. Get a couple of wins. Today’s theme: Gotta get a win at home with your ace on the mound.

LOVE THE METS TODAY.

deGrom is an absolute monster. Freak of nature. Obviously the best pitcher in the league. No need to write more than that.

Meanwhile, the Mets have been low-key nice. I’ve loved watching them play and I’ve loved betting on them so far in this young season. Because they’ve been scoring runs! The one thing they couldn’t seem to do last year, especially when their best pitcher was on the mound. They have seemingly overcome this seemingly un-overcomable obstacle, like when Buster finally climbed over that wall after Gob punched him in the stomach (if you’ve watched Arrested Development you’ll get the reference). Hence why the Mets have a top-10 offense in runs scored (9th) and OPS (8th), as well as a few other key offensive metrics. Scored 21 runs in their last four games, all away, while also getting blanked in one of those matchups vs. the Nats.

Meanwhile, they go up against Kyle Gibson today. The Twins righty starter who posted a 3.6 ERA and a 1.300 WHIP on his way to a 10-13 record last year. He had an awful first start against the goddamn Royals earlier this year. Additionally, he’s met with Mets batters for a total of 75 ABs over his career, yielding a .333 average.

The Twins have been solid so far, managing to stay above water at 5-3. As well as keeping their offense about middle of the pack (~~ 15th in OPS and runs scored). The Mets bats are still hot, however, and they’re looking to start off strong in this homestand with their gorgeous #1 guy out on the mound. No fear Mets by a million.

Dear Phillies, here’s the theme of the day: Gotta get a win at home when your ace is on the mound.

The Phillies Ace just happens to be really, really fucking good. Last year, he went 17-6 with a 2.3 ERA and a WHIP under 1.000. Nola actually led all MLB pitchers in WAR in 2018, all on his way to a third-place finish in Cy Young voting. However, it’s important to note that he got shelled in his last start, which happened to be against the Nationals. That scares me.

I mean he got shelled… 3ip, 6 runs on 6 hits, including 3 homers. The only thing I can hope is that he goes back to his old self once he’s back in Philly.

Stephen Strasburg on the mound for the Nats. He’s started two games this year, both against the Mets, getting shelled once and throwing 6 and 2/3rds shutout the second time around. Last year, he posted a 3.7 ERA and a 1.200 WHIP while striking out 150 over 130ip, all on his way to a 10-7 record.

Washington’s offense has been competent. Team OPS ranks 12th in the majors currently, and they crack the top 10 against righties, sitting in 9th.

Philly has managed to score 8 more runs than the Nats in the same amount of games (9). Their offense ranks 5th in OPS overall, and 6th against righties. Philly has been red hot to start the season, 7-2, including having already taken 2 of 3 from the Nats so far. They won last night against Anibal S├ánchez with their own Vince Velasquez on the mound (amazingly, I spelled that right on my very first try), and I think it’s important to note that Anibal’s 2018 numbers were better than Strasburg’s, and obviously Nola’s 2018 numbers were better than Velasquez’s.

Phillies win as they take 2 of 3 from the Nats at home. Line’s a little juiced, but you know what? No fear.

Greinke. On the mound for the Diamondbacks. At home. They gotta get a win here.

Zack struggled in his first start of the year, getting pounded by the red-hot Dodgers. But came around nicely in game two, where he held the Padres to 3 runs over 6 innings in a Win. Both of those starts were on the road though, and I expect him to come back into his 15-win, 3.2 ERA, 1.000 WHIP form against the Rangers. Here is why.

Because as the Diamondbacks offense continues to be red hot, as in having the 4th-best team OPS in the league hot, their OPS actually jumps when facing lefties. Wherein, they own the 3rd-best OPS in the league v. lefties, including having scored the most runs off left-handed pitchers in the league this year.

Mike Minor, the lefty, will be pitching for the Rangers tonight. A solid pitcher, who owned a 4.1 ERA and a 1.120 WHIP last season while posting a 12-8 record. Also striking out about 130 over about 150 innings. He’s been on par with those numbers this year over his first 2 starts.

Let’s round this up by taking a look back at the Rangers offense. Team OPS is 10th in the league currently, but that number drops to 14th in the league when facing righties. A quality right handed start from our guy Greinke here, and the Diamondbacks should be able to move above .500 while the Rangers drop to below .500.

Taking this play on the RL because (a) I like the value w/r/t the D-backs offense, and (b) I usually like to take a plus-money play to go with a few favorites.


Wow. A great 7-day run comes to a close. But, we must hope that this opens up the door for another great 7-day run. Miguel Felix Gallardo always said: “With crisis, comes opportunity.” Today, we follow El Padrino’s advice and Hammer on.

PS- Extra:

  • Indians ML -140 Really really tempted to take this but gonna stay away because of Indians offense and Kluber being 0-2 to start the season. Also I don’t think Zimmerman has given up a run yet.
  • Rays ML -180 Rays are a wagon they’re always great to bet on but too much juice here esp. considering pitching matchups.
  • Red Sox -1.5 -140 ughhhhh Sale day, Fenway opening day, RING CEREMONY. I don’t understand how the BoSox could possibly lose this game against TOR, but I just can’t get myself to take it considering how shit they’ve been.