Freaky Friday

2019 MLB Record: 38-33-3 +.44u


6/13 Recap: 1-2-0 -1.19u

-Tigers ML -119 1u: Not Cashed

-Diamondbacks ML -123 1u: CASHED

-Rangers/RedSox F5 u4.5 +100 1u: Not Cashed


6/14:

-Brewers ML -136 1u (10pm)

-Phillies ML +125 1u (7pm)

-Rangers ML +150 1u (7pm)


Brewers are a good team and Zach Davies has been pretty solid for them all year. On the contrary: Fade Dwew Pomeranz! He had a great outing last time out against the Dodgers, but the Brewers are a different beast who have been hitting significantly better than the Dodgers in the month of June.

Meanwhile, the Giants team OPS during this month ranks 27th in the Majors. Pairing Dwew with a recently cold lineup isn’t exactly a recipe for success.

Plus, the Giants opponent today is really good. I do understand how this could be a bit of a trap line, but no time to overthink, only time to hammer.

I really think the pitching matchup favors the Phillies today. Pivetta has been nails his last 4 starts, and as a result the Phillies are 4-0 in those starts. In Max Fried’s last 4 starts, he has an ERA approaching 6 and a WHIP above 2.

Atlanta has been outhitting and outplaying Philly by a wiiide margin this month. However, given the SP matchup today, I believe that the plus-money is worth taking here! The bullpen matchup is a wash and, as long as Pivetta keeps doing his shtick, I think the Phillies could knock Max around here a bit and provide enough run support for a road W.

This Rangers pick is my favorite pick of the day. The Rangers are red-hot right now, and Cinci still has the worst team OPS in the Majors during the month of June.

Additionally, Tyler Mahle has been solid but nothing to write home about. The Reds are 3-9 with him on the mound this year, and I think that the red-hot Texas Rangers knock him around for however many innings he decides to pitch.

It seems like the Rangers are tossing a bullpen game today. Which is fine, Jesse Chavez has been more than a serviceable pitcher in recent weeks, and the Rangers pitching staff ranks in the top 15 in terms of ERA and WHIP during the month of June. Good enough for me!


BOL Tail or Fade don’t care.