This. Is. June.

2019 MLB Record: 33-22-1 +8.37u


Last Day Bet Recap- 5/17: 1-0-0 +1.31u

-Cubs ML +131 1u: CASHED


6/7:

-Diamondbacks/Blue Jays u8.5 +100 1u

-Dodgers -1.5 -150 1u

-Dodgers TT o4.5 -120 1u


May was a bit of a wild month for me, and I wasn’t able to make many picks or post all that often. Just because today’s the first bet of June, let’s do a quicc April/May recap:

  • April: 28-17-1 +8.94u
  • May: 5-5 -.57u

June is when the grinding starts. The first 3rd of the season has been fun, but the yeast doesn’t stop rising and therefore the bread must be gotted. Today…

Diamondbacks/Blue Jays u8.5 +100 1u:

Many have heard of Marcus Stroman, as he’s been having a pretty good season North of the Border. But his adversary today, Arizona’s Merrill Kelly, has had a not so bad– eh– Rookie season himself. Here are the two’s numbers over their L5 starts:

  • Stroman: 30.1 IP, 2.67 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, .271/.317/.373 line against, he’s 2-2 in decisions and the Blue Jays are 2-3 in those starts.
  • Kelly: 28.1 IP, 3.81 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, .288/.322/.423 line against, he’s 2-3 in decisions and the Diamondbacks are 2-3 in those starts (uhhh ya think T).

Both of the team’s bullpens have average AF numbers, as both of their ERA’s are sitting in the mid-4’s.

Over the last 7 days (6 games), both offenses have been, in a word, bad. Especially Arizona, whose team OPS during that stretch (.604) is good for dead fucking last in Major League Baseball. Canada’s bats have been slightly more explosive, but their team OPS of .737 is still only good for 18th in the league (again, during that stretch). Additionally, over that stretch, Toronto’s offense has scored 26 runs, and the Diamondbacks have scored 21 runs, good for 23rd and 26th in the league respectively. It might also be good to note that the Diamondbacks team OPS drops significantly when they have to hit against Righties (hey Marcus Stroman throws with that hand).

The total has stayed u9 in 4 of the Diamondbacks L7 games. The total has stayed u9 in 5 of the Blue Jays L7 games, which includes a 3-game series in Colorado.

Finally, both teams are 3-7 in their L10 games. All of this leads me to believe that these are two decently-hot pitchers whom are tossing against two sets of decently-cold bats. No fear.

Dodgers -1.5 -150 1u @ Giants:

Dodgers TT o4.5 -120 1u @ Giants:

This is such a ridiculous contrarian noob ass pick but honestly fuck it. Dodgers are hitting at a .800 clip over the L7 days and at a .900 clip over the L14 days.

Meanwhile, Dwew Pomeranz has an ERA OF TWENTY in his last 4 starts. In those starts, Dwew’s WHIP is OVER THREE. Giants are 0-3 in his decisions and 1-3 in those games.

Double Meanwhile, THE DODGERS ARE 9-0 IN CLAYTON KERSHAW STARTS. Failing to cover the RL only twice in those games. Kershaw is sitting pretty with a 3-flat ERA and a 1-flat WHIP. All is well, all is well.

Giants are not a good team, and their team OPS has been below .700 for most of the season. Cody Bellinger is the best player in baseball and probably will go 3-5 against Dwew with his fucking eyes closed. No overthinking here. Just gonna fire.


BOL Tail or Fade don’t care. No fear.